Wednesday, August 20, 2025

 

Gold Futures (GC) Technical Review: Converging on a Critical Breakout Point

Based on the daily chart you provided, Gold futures are currently in a critical phase of consolidation within a converging triangle pattern. This formation, which has been developing over several months, is defined by a tightening price range as it nears its apex. Following Elliott Wave principles, the price appears to be completing the final Wave E of the pattern, positioning it for an imminent breakout.



The Decisive Technical Event: On the Verge of a Triangle Breakout

The chart clearly illustrates a five-wave internal structure (A-B-C-D-E) within the triangle. The price's arrival at Point E marks the final stage of this consolidation. Located near the apex of the triangle, this point represents the culmination of the standoff between buyers and sellers.

A breakout from this pattern is the event that all traders are anticipating. If the price breaks decisively above the triangle's upper trendline, it would signal a powerful continuation of the bullish trend that began months ago. Such a breakout is expected to lead to a sharp and significant upward move, potentially pushing gold to new all-time highs.

Price Targets from Major Financial Institutions (End of 2025)

The current technical setup for gold is supported by a bullish consensus among leading financial institutions, who believe its price will continue to climb.

  • J.P. Morgan: Research from J.P. Morgan projects that gold's average price will reach around $3,675 per ounce by the fourth quarter of 2025.

  • Goldman Sachs: Goldman Sachs has published a bullish forecast, predicting gold will rise to $3,700 per ounce by the end of 2025.

  • UBS: UBS analysts estimate that gold will reach a price target of $3,500 per ounce by the end of 2025.

  • Citigroup: Citigroup has a revised forecast of $3,000 per ounce for gold in 2025.

This technical convergence, combined with a bullish consensus among prominent analysts, points to a significant potential for further price appreciation in both the near and medium term.

Extended Legal and Disclaimers

IMPORTANT: READ CAREFULLY BEFORE PROCEEDING.

This document, including any and all information, opinions, analyses, forecasts, and price predictions, is provided for informational and educational purposes only. It is not, and should not be construed as, financial advice, investment advice, legal advice, tax advice, or accounting advice in any form. Nothing herein should be interpreted as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell, or hold any cryptocurrency, digital asset, security, commodity, futures contract, options, or any other financial instrument. This content is not a recommendation to engage in any investment strategy.

The information contained in this review is not a substitute for professional, personalized advice. All content, including market analyses, trading strategies, historical examples, forecasts, and opinions, is based on publicly available data, technical analysis principles, and the personal interpretation of the author(s). While every reasonable measure is taken to ensure the accuracy and reliability of the information at the time of publication, we provide no guarantee, warranty, or representation as to the accuracy, completeness, timeliness, or reliability of the content. Opinions and analyses expressed in this review are solely those of the author(s) and are subject to change at any time without prior notice.

Significant Risks in Commodity and Financial Markets: Investing and trading in these markets involve significant capital risk and are characterized by high volatility. There is a real and substantial risk of partial or total loss of your investment. The use of leverage can amplify both gains and losses. Past performance of any financial asset or strategy is not an indicator or guarantee of future results. Technical examples, market trends, or fundamental analyses do not guarantee future success. Market conditions can change rapidly and unpredictably, and reliance on these analyses should be exercised with extreme caution.

User Responsibility: The sole responsibility for all investment or trading decisions rests entirely with the reader/user. You must conduct your own thorough and independent research (Due Diligence) and consult with a qualified and licensed financial advisor, portfolio manager, or other relevant professional who can provide advice tailored to your personal financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

Limitation of Liability: By using the information contained in this review, you acknowledge and accept the terms set forth above. You agree that the author(s) and any other related entities (including but not limited to suppliers and partners) shall not be held liable for any loss, damage, expense, or distress, of any kind whatsoever, whether direct, indirect, consequential, or special, incurred by you or any third party as a result of reliance on the information contained in this review, or as a result of using any products or services mentioned herein.

Tuesday, August 19, 2025

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Review: A Bullish Confluence of a Wedge Breakout and a Shark Pattern

The 4-hour Bitcoin chart is presenting a high-conviction technical setup, marked by the confluence of a successful bullish wedge breakout and a completed bullish Shark harmonic pattern. This dual-pattern alignment suggests that the corrective phase is over and a new, powerful upward trend may be on the horizon.


The Bullish Wedge Breakout and Critical Retest

The first key event was the breakout from a large bullish wedge pattern. This formation, a textbook sign of weakening selling pressure, culminated in the price breaking decisively above its upper trendline. The price then performed a deep retracement, returning to the very bottom trendline of the wedge to retest it. This is a crucial technical event. A successful retest validates the strength of the breakout, as the former resistance of the wedge's upper line and the former support of its lower line have now been tested and appear to be holding.

The Bullish Shark Pattern: A High-Probability Reversal

As the price moved to retest the wedge's lower trendline, it simultaneously completed a bullish Shark harmonic pattern. This pattern, which relies on specific Fibonacci ratios (as seen in your chart), signals a high-probability reversal zone. The price has now reached the final leg (Point C) of this pattern, which aligns perfectly with the lower trendline of the larger bullish wedge. This is a very powerful technical confluence.

The probability of this combined technical pattern is considered high because it suggests that the market has found a clear and strong support level. The corrective move has been precisely defined and exhausted at a logical reversal point.

Major Financial Institution Price Forecasts for Bitcoin (End of 2025)

The bullish technical picture is strongly supported by a positive consensus among major financial institutions and prominent analysts, who have issued optimistic price forecasts for Bitcoin by the end of 2025.

  • Bernstein: Analysts at the investment bank Bernstein have raised their Bitcoin price target, forecasting the cryptocurrency could reach $200,000 by the end of 2025.

  • VanEck: The investment firm VanEck projects a Bitcoin price of $180,000 by the end of 2025.

  • Standard Chartered: The international investment bank Standard Chartered has a bullish outlook, with a forecast of $175,000 by the end of 2025, provided the current momentum is sustained.

  • Bitwise: Analysts from Bitwise, a crypto asset manager, also project a price target of $200,000 for Bitcoin by the end of the year.

Conclusion

Bitcoin is at a critical juncture, with its price action demonstrating a powerful technical alignment. The confluence of a bullish wedge breakout and a completed bullish Shark pattern creates a high-conviction support level. This technical strength is reinforced by a strong consensus among major financial institutions who are issuing bullish price forecasts for the end of 2025. The combination of these factors points to a high probability of a new, sustained upward trend.

Extended Legal and Disclaimers

IMPORTANT: READ CAREFULLY BEFORE PROCEEDING.

This document, including any and all information, opinions, analyses, forecasts, and price predictions, is provided for informational and educational purposes only. It is not, and should not be construed as, financial advice, investment advice, legal advice, tax advice, or accounting advice in any form. Nothing herein should be interpreted as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell, or hold any cryptocurrency, digital asset, security, commodity, futures contract, options, or any other financial instrument. This content is not a recommendation to engage in any investment strategy.

The information contained in this review is not a substitute for professional, personalized advice. All content, including market analyses, trading strategies, historical examples, forecasts, and opinions, is based on publicly available data, technical analysis principles, and the personal interpretation of the author(s). While every reasonable measure is taken to ensure the accuracy and reliability of the information at the time of publication, we provide no guarantee, warranty, or representation as to the accuracy, completeness, timeliness, or reliability of the content. Opinions and analyses expressed in this review are solely those of the author(s) and are subject to change at any time without prior notice.

Significant Risks in Cryptocurrency and Financial Markets: Investing and trading in capital markets, and especially in cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, involves significant capital risk and is characterized by exceptionally high volatility. There is a real and substantial risk of partial or total loss of your investment. The use of leverage can amplify both gains and losses. Past performance of any asset or strategy is not an indicator or guarantee of future results. Technical examples, market trends, or fundamental analyses do not guarantee future success. Market conditions can change rapidly and unpredictably, and reliance on these analyses should be exercised with extreme caution.

User Responsibility: The sole responsibility for all investment or trading decisions rests entirely with the reader/user. You must conduct your own thorough and independent research (Due Diligence) and consult with a qualified and licensed financial advisor, portfolio manager, or other relevant professional who can provide advice tailored to your personal financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

Limitation of Liability: By using the information contained in this review, you acknowledge and accept the terms set forth above. You agree that the author(s) and any other related entities (including but not limited to suppliers and partners) shall not be held liable for any loss, damage, expense, or distress, of any kind whatsoever, whether direct, indirect, consequential, or special, incurred by you or any third party as a result of reliance on the information contained in this review, or as a result of using any products or services mentioned herein.

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Review: From a Failed Cypher to a Bullish Shark Pattern

 The 4-hour Bitcoin chart showcases a compelling shift in market dynamics. After a significant upward breakout from a bullish wedge pattern, the subsequent corrective move has evolved from a partial Cypher pattern into a completed bullish Shark harmonic pattern. This sequence highlights the market's search for a strong support level, which it appears to have now found.



The Bullish Wedge Breakout and Initial Correction

The analysis begins with a confirmed breakout from a multi-week bullish wedge pattern. This move signaled a powerful shift in momentum, with the price successfully pushing above the upper trendline and then returning to retest it as a new support level. This retest is a textbook move, validating the breakout and confirming the strength of the bullish trend.

However, the corrective move downward has been deeper than initially anticipated.

The Failed Cypher and the Emergence of the Bullish Shark

As the price retested the wedge's upper trendline, it began to form a bullish Cypher pattern, with its projected reversal point at the 0.786 retracement (Point D). Initially, this point provided a brief bounce, but the support quickly failed, and the price continued to fall.

This failure is not a sign of market weakness but rather a common occurrence where a less-than-perfect harmonic pattern fails to hold and morphs into a different one. The price continued its decline to the 0.886 Fibonacci retracement level, which is the critical reversal zone for a bullish Shark pattern. This level is now identified as Point C of the Shark.

The formation is now complete, with the original Cypher's Point D becoming the new Shark's Point C, and the price reaching the key reversal level that traders now expect to hold.


Confluence and Outlook

The current price action represents a powerful confluence of support:

  1. Bullish Wedge Retest: The price is resting on the upper trendline of the recently broken bullish wedge.

  2. Bullish Shark Pattern: The price has completed the final leg of the Shark pattern by reaching its reversal zone (Point C).

The combination of these two events creates a high-conviction setup for a significant bounce. The market has found a powerful support level where selling pressure is expected to be exhausted. Traders will now look for a confirmation of this reversal with a strong green candle and a surge in volume, which could mark the beginning of the next major upward move for Bitcoin.


Extended Legal and Disclaimers

IMPORTANT: READ CAREFULLY BEFORE PROCEEDING.

This document, including any and all information, opinions, analyses, forecasts, and price predictions, is provided for informational and educational purposes only. It is not, and should not be construed as, financial advice, investment advice, legal advice, tax advice, or accounting advice in any form. Nothing herein should be interpreted as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell, or hold any cryptocurrency, digital asset, security, commodity, futures contract, options, or any other financial instrument. This content is not a recommendation to engage in any investment strategy.

The information contained in this review is not a substitute for professional, personalized advice. All content, including market analyses, trading strategies, historical examples, forecasts, and opinions, is based on publicly available data, technical analysis principles, and the personal interpretation of the author(s). While every reasonable measure is taken to ensure the accuracy and reliability of the information at the time of publication, we provide no guarantee, warranty, or representation as to the accuracy, completeness, timeliness, or reliability of the content. Opinions and analyses expressed in this review are solely those of the author(s) and are subject to change at any time without prior notice.

Significant Risks in Cryptocurrency and Financial Markets: Investing and trading in capital markets, and especially in cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, involves significant capital risk and is characterized by exceptionally high volatility. There is a real and substantial risk of partial or total loss of your investment. The use of leverage can amplify both gains and losses. Past performance of any asset or strategy is not an indicator or guarantee of future results. Technical examples, market trends, or fundamental analyses do not guarantee future success. Market conditions can change rapidly and unpredictably, and reliance on these analyses should be exercised with extreme caution.

User Responsibility: The sole responsibility for all investment or trading decisions rests entirely with the reader/user. You must conduct your own thorough and independent research (Due Diligence) and consult with a qualified and licensed financial advisor, portfolio manager, or other relevant professional who can provide advice tailored to your personal financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

Limitation of Liability: By using the information contained in this review, you acknowledge and accept the terms set forth above. You agree that the author(s) and any other related entities (including but not limited to suppliers and partners) shall not be held liable for any loss, damage, expense, or distress, of any kind whatsoever, whether direct, indirect, consequential, or special, incurred by you or any third party as a result of reliance on the information contained in this review, or as a result of using any products or services mentioned herein.


Monday, August 18, 2025

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Review: A Bullish Wedge and a Complex Cypher Pattern

The 4-hour Bitcoin chart presents a fascinating technical picture, showing a significant upward breakout from a bullish wedge pattern that has now been followed by a corrective move forming a complex harmonic Cypher pattern. This dynamic highlights the current tug-of-war between bullish momentum and a technical correction.


The Bullish Wedge Breakout and Retest

The first major event on the chart was the confirmed breakout from a clear bullish wedge pattern. This formation, characterized by five internal waves, signals a weakening of selling pressure as the price consolidates into a tighter range. The price successfully broke above the upper trendline, initiating a strong bullish impulse.

Following the breakout, the price embarked on a downward corrective move. This return to the breakout level is a classic retest, where the former resistance line is tested as a new support. This retest validates the initial breakout, confirming the new strength of the trendline.

The Harmonic Cypher Pattern: A Corrective Twist

As the price corrected downward, it began to form a bullish harmonic Cypher pattern. This pattern, defined by specific Fibonacci ratios, suggests a potential reversal zone. However, as noted in your analysis, this pattern is not perfect:

  • Point B: The retracement to Point B aligns with the expected ratios.

  • Point C: The extension to Point C is a key point of interest. It reached the 1.13 extension of the XA leg, falling short of the ideal 1.272 ratio. This imperfect retracement suggests the pattern may not have reached its full potential, or it could simply be a sign of underlying market strength preventing a deeper correction.

  • Point D: The final point of the pattern, where the reversal is expected, is located at the 0.786 retracement of the XC leg. The price is currently at this critical level, which also aligns with the retest of the bullish wedge's upper trendline.

Major Financial Institution Price Forecasts for Bitcoin (End of 2025)

The following forecasts are based on well-known analysts and financial institutions and reflect the market's bullish consensus for the upcoming year.

  • Bernstein: Analysts at the investment bank Bernstein have raised their Bitcoin price target, forecasting the cryptocurrency could reach $200,000 by the end of 2025.

  • Standard Chartered: The international investment bank Standard Chartered has issued a particularly bullish forecast, stating that Bitcoin could reach $175,000 by the end of 2025, provided the current momentum is sustained.

  • VanEck: The investment firm VanEck projects a Bitcoin price target of $180,000 by the end of 2025.

  • Bitwise: Analysts from Bitwise, a crypto asset manager, also project a price target of $200,000 for Bitcoin by the end of the year.

Confluence and Outlook

The convergence of the harmonic Cypher pattern's reversal zone (Point D) with the validated support from the bullish wedge is a powerful technical signal. This double confirmation suggests that the corrective phase is likely nearing its end. While the Cypher pattern is not textbook perfect, its alignment with the retested support from the wedge provides a strong argument for a bounce. This technical strength is further supported by the collective bullish outlook from major financial institutions for the end of 2025.

Extended Legal and Disclaimers

IMPORTANT: READ CAREFULLY BEFORE PROCEEDING.

This document, including any and all information, opinions, analyses, forecasts, and price predictions, is provided for informational and educational purposes only. It is not, and should not be construed as, financial advice, investment advice, legal advice, tax advice, or accounting advice in any form. Nothing herein should be interpreted as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell, or hold any cryptocurrency, digital asset, security, commodity, futures contract, options, or any other financial instrument. This content is not a recommendation to engage in any investment strategy.

The information contained in this review is not a substitute for professional, personalized advice. All content, including market analyses, trading strategies, historical examples, forecasts, and opinions, is based on publicly available data, technical analysis principles, and the personal interpretation of the author(s). While every reasonable measure is taken to ensure the accuracy and reliability of the information at the time of publication, we provide no guarantee, warranty, or representation as to the accuracy, completeness, timeliness, or reliability of the content. Opinions and analyses expressed in this review are solely those of the author(s) and are subject to change at any time without prior notice.

Significant Risks in Cryptocurrency and Financial Markets: Investing and trading in capital markets, and especially in cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, involves significant capital risk and is characterized by exceptionally high volatility. There is a real and substantial risk of partial or total loss of your investment. The use of leverage can amplify both gains and losses. Past performance of any asset or strategy is not an indicator or guarantee of future results. Technical examples, market trends, or fundamental analyses do not guarantee future success. Market conditions can change rapidly and unpredictably, and reliance on these analyses should be exercised with extreme caution.

User Responsibility: The sole responsibility for all investment or trading decisions rests entirely with the reader/user. You must conduct your own thorough and independent research (Due Diligence) and consult with a qualified and licensed financial advisor, portfolio manager, or other relevant professional who can provide advice tailored to your personal financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

Limitation of Liability: By using the information contained in this review, you acknowledge and accept the terms set forth above. You agree that the author(s) and any other related entities (including but not limited to suppliers and partners) shall not be held liable for any loss, damage, expense, or distress, of any kind whatsoever, whether direct, indirect, consequential, or special, incurred by you or any third party as a result of reliance on the information contained in this review, or as a result of using any products or services mentioned herein.

Sunday, August 17, 2025

Ethereum (ETH/USD) Technical Review: A Bullish Confluence of Elliott Wave and Gartley Patterns

 The 4-hour Ethereum chart presents a powerful technical picture, suggesting a high-probability bullish reversal is imminent. The price action has completed a full 5-wave Elliott Wave cycle to the upside, which is now followed by a corrective ABC wave sequence. Crucially, the completion of this ABC correction coincides with the formation and completion of a bullish Gartley harmonic pattern. The confluence of these two distinct technical patterns at the same price point creates a high-conviction trading setup.


Elliott Wave Analysis: Completion of a 5-Wave Cycle

The chart clearly illustrates the completion of a motive 5-wave upward impulse (labeled 1-2-3-4-5), which drove the price to its recent high. This cycle, a fundamental component of Elliott Wave Theory, suggests that the upward trend has reached its conclusion and is due for a correction.

The subsequent price action has unfolded as a three-wave corrective sequence (A-B-C). The current price is at the completion of wave C, which marks the end of the full correction. According to Elliott Wave Principle, once the corrective ABC sequence is complete, the market is poised to resume its primary trend, which in this case, is bullish.

Gartley Harmonic Pattern: Confluence at the Corrective Wave's End

Simultaneously with the completion of the Elliott Wave correction, a bullish Gartley pattern has formed on the same 4-hour chart. The Gartley pattern is a harmonic reversal pattern that utilizes specific Fibonacci ratios to identify a potential reversal zone.

The pattern's completion at its final point, labeled D, is where the high-probability reversal is expected. This Point D aligns perfectly with the end of Elliott Wave's corrective wave C. This powerful technical confluence suggests that the price has found a major support zone where the corrective phase is exhausted, and a new bullish impulsive wave is likely to begin.

Major Financial Institution Price Forecasts for Ethereum (End of 2025)

The bullish technical picture for Ethereum is reinforced by a positive consensus among many major financial institutions and analysts, who have revised their price targets upwards for the end of 2025.

  • Fundstrat: Tom Lee, head of research at Fundstrat, projects Ethereum could reach a price target of $10,000 to $15,000 by the end of 2025.

  • Mark Newton (Fundstrat): Newton has a short-term target of $4,000 by the end of July 2025, with potential to move to the $6,000-$8,000 range.

  • Colin Talks Crypto: This analyst has a highly bullish forecast of $15,000 to $20,000 within the current bull cycle, which is expected to conclude in late 2025.

  • CoinDCX: This firm's analysis points to a price range between $9,500 and $12,300 by the end of 2025.

These forecasts, while varied, reflect a broad consensus among major market participants that Ethereum's fundamental strengths, including the growth of its ecosystem and institutional adoption, will drive its price to new all-time highs.

Conclusion

The convergence of Elliott Wave Theory and a bullish Gartley pattern on the 4-hour Ethereum chart provides a powerful technical signal. The completion of the ABC corrective wave at the exact same point as the Gartley pattern's reversal zone indicates that the price is likely to find strong support and begin a new upward trend. This technical alignment is further supported by major institutional forecasts that anticipate significant price appreciation for Ethereum by the end of 2025.

Extended Legal and Disclaimers

IMPORTANT: READ CAREFULLY BEFORE PROCEEDING.

This document, including any and all information, opinions, analyses, forecasts, and price predictions, is provided for informational and educational purposes only. It is not, and should not be construed as, financial advice, investment advice, legal advice, tax advice, or accounting advice in any form. Nothing herein should be interpreted as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell, or hold any cryptocurrency, digital asset, security, commodity, futures contract, options, or any other financial instrument. This content is not a recommendation to engage in any investment strategy.

The information contained in this review is not a substitute for professional, personalized advice. All content, including market analyses, trading strategies, historical examples, forecasts, and opinions, is based on publicly available data, technical analysis principles, and the personal interpretation of the author(s). While every reasonable measure is taken to ensure the accuracy and reliability of the information at the time of publication, we provide no guarantee, warranty, or representation as to the accuracy, completeness, timeliness, or reliability of the content. Opinions and analyses expressed in this review are solely those of the author(s) and are subject to change at any time without prior notice.

Significant Risks in Cryptocurrency and Financial Markets: Investing and trading in capital markets, and especially in cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum, involves significant capital risk and is characterized by exceptionally high volatility. There is a real and substantial risk of partial or total loss of your investment. The use of leverage can amplify both gains and losses. Past performance of any asset or strategy is not an indicator or guarantee of future results. Technical examples, market trends, or fundamental analyses do not guarantee future success. Market conditions can change rapidly and unpredictably, and reliance on these analyses should be exercised with extreme caution.

User Responsibility: The sole responsibility for all investment or trading decisions rests entirely with the reader/user. You must conduct your own thorough and independent research (Due Diligence) and consult with a qualified and licensed financial advisor, portfolio manager, or other relevant professional who can provide advice tailored to your personal financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

Limitation of Liability: By using the information contained in this review, you acknowledge and accept the terms set forth above. You agree that the author(s) and any other related entities (including but not limited to suppliers and partners) shall not be held liable for any loss, damage, expense, or distress, of any kind whatsoever, whether direct, indirect, consequential, or special, incurred by you or any third party as a result of reliance on the information contained in this review, or as a result of using any products or services mentioned herein.